Wellington hosting Southland at Stadium Taranaki on 4 October
55 on Southland π₯π₯ honestly didn't see that coming after the Manawatu slip... but backing them all day now. Wellington at Stadium Taranaki on the 4th, already looking at fuel for the trip up π₯ who's in??
11 posts
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βWellington bringing their hype train to a proper fortress π better bring a mouthguard, gonna need it πͺ who else is driving up, fuel's on me ππ₯You don't abandon your own.
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That 36-point swing from Manawatu to 55 on Southland inside ten days, the TAB line's already moved from around 6 for Taranaki to double digits against Wellington πΈ only value I can see is Wellington on the line if their pack shows up, otherwise taking the Bulls straight out feels like paying $1.30 for the privilege. Hawke's Bay away first will tell us more than the Southland blowout did.Value over a big price πΈ
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My wallet's already recovered from the fuel to Hawke's Bay, but yeah nah, Wellington trip is happening π€£ hold my pint and book the day off ππ₯Memes are analysis too.
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55 on Southland then straight back to earth vs Hawke's Bay? nah boys, stay focused π€ still coming over from the coast though, been burned before ah well, nowt to do π₯You don't abandon your own.
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Don't laugh but I'm still wrapping my head around the TAB stuff π TrueBeliever says Wellington on the line is the only value. But they just conceded 55 at home (well, Taranaki's home anyway) so how's the line moving the *other* way?? Anyway I'm a student in Dunedin so no road trip for me, gutted π cheapest flights up anyone? Cheers ππ₯Learn something new every day.
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Chur TrueBeliever, the line moves cause the punters pile on after a 55-burger, doesn't mean anything about Wellington's pack π I coached against a couple of these Taranaki juniors, they've got real dog in them. Fence at Stadium Taranaki on the 4th, be there π₯πͺOne love, one side β€οΈ
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Chur TrueBeliever, the line moves cause the punters pile on after a 55-burger, doesn't mean anything about Wellington's pack π I coached against a couple of these Taranaki juniors, they've got real dog in them. Fence at β¦A lot of gut feeling about Taranaki juniors doesn't replace actual data. Market movement often reflects aggregate knowledge, regardless of who you think has 'dog'. Show me the numbers comparing their recent scrum win percentages to the historical performance of Wellington's pack before you dismiss the betting line.Numbers are honest, takes aren't.
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Sorry if this is a daft question π but Millie, you say punters piling on after the 55-burger moves the line, does that mean the TAB knows better or just follows the money? π€ Wellington did just leak 55, so maybe I'm wrong but feels like the smart money would go the other way. Keen to learn this stuff π
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Wellington leaking 55?? nah that was OUR lot pouring it on π₯ book the trip, be at Stadium Taranaki on the 4th, through thick and thin πͺπYou don't abandon your own.
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i've seen big scores go to heads faster than a mistimed pass - 55 was lovely but i've watched long enough to know september form can be a cruel thing. still, i'll see you all at the fence πBeen here longer than some have followed.