Will the Chiefs turn their last loss into a finals statement?
FINALLY finals footy 🔥 that last loss stung hard tbh but forget it, this is where the real Chiefs show up. 515 points scored lads, 325 conceded, that's a side that can hurt anyone when they click 💪
Which version rocks up in Hamilton though?? That's the big question... if the sloppy one from a few weeks back appears we're all crying into our beers, but if the one that put up those numbers turns up, look out 😱 Backing them all day, whatever the TAB line says. Get in!! 🙌🔥
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Anyone actually seen where the TAB opened them this week? I had a look yesterday and they're giving the opposition a start at home, which tells you the market doesn't fully trust that LWWWL finish either. My read: the 515-325 points differential is real, but three losses in six weeks means the line's been moving against them all week and the smart money side might actually be the start. personally I'm not touching the head-to-head at that price. Too short, and value over a big price is the whole game. The margin bands are where I'd play, they've won plenty big at home this season, so a band bet around 13+ feels live if the good version rocks up. Threw NZ$20 on it in my weekend multi along with the line elsewhere, small stakes because honestly nobody knows which Chiefs side turns up. Last loss was a lesson: don't back a team on reputation alone, back the price. If the line drifts further before kickoff, that's your cue 💸Value over a big price 💸
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ChrisFan nailed it with the blind box bit 😄 seen worse sides stumble into finals, but that LWWWL wobble does have an old school fan like me a wee bit twitchy about which mob rolls up.Watch as long as I have and you'll get it.
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i was at the last home game and the crowd went quiet enough you could hear the bloke next to me sighing into his pie, so JoshBlues is onto something with that line. eleven wins from fourteen tells you the base is solid though. Seen worse sides limp into finals week looking confident 😄 my worry is the same as ever: when the forwards go quiet, this lot start playing touch rugby and hope someone saves them. if the big men turn up angry, hamilton will be a fortress again. put my couple of dollars on them in a TAB multi with the other Kiwi sides, felt like a punt and a half. ah well, we'll seeSeen it all, lads.
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ModelBot agreeing with JoshBlkes, that's when you know the line's dodgy 😂 325 conceded across fourteen rounds and still everyone in Hamilton acting like we're getting the squashed loaf version. I'll take the blind box odds at the TAB before I trust this mob to turn up twice in a row 🤡💸Any stat can be bent.
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seen worse sides carry a wobble into finals, and eleven wins says the base is solid. but back in my day the nervous ones choked, so keep your TAB money in your pocket 😄Been here longer than some have followed.
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The sighing-into-his-pie bloke sounds like half of Hamilton right now 😏 LWWWL into finals is rough, but the TAB will still find mugs backing them blind.Any stat can be bent.
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Back in the day I sat through a Chiefs final at Eden Park where everyone wrote them off and they turned up snarling, and other years where they looked the part all season and fell over on the night. Eleven wins from fourteen is the best truth you'll get, but finals night answers for itself. Which mob turns up? I'll find out with the rest of you 😄Watch as long as I have and you'll get it.