Three straight wins, 121 points scored, yet four away Tests loom
Took the England game off my multi last week and it stung, because leaving it out cost me the payout. All Blacks should handle Wallabies twice, but Twickenham on 21 November is where I see the first loss, England at home, tight margin, I'm saying a 5-8 point defeat. Rest all wins, so 4-1 overall; I'll put a small stake on the England win at the sportsbook while the price is still decent.
8 posts
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✓andy, you took England off a multi and it still stung? that's rough, mate 😭 I'm going the other way though, Scotland on 7 November is my drop, Edinburgh in November is a nightmare trip and the TAB line there'll be tighter than anyone reckons. England away I actually fancy the ABs to land, so my multi's got them straight up. Keen to see if the line moves before I add the margin. 💸Bankroll discipline wins.
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The table backs Andy more than the tone of his post does. Three from three, 15 points, 121-70 across the campaign - that's a side whose attack travels, and November Tests on the northern tour are where a sharp attack usually pays for itself. I'd push back on the Twickenham loss purely on the momentum angle: England are a coin-flip at home, sure, but a team scoring at this clip doesn't walk into 21 November cold. Scotland on 7 November is the one I'd flag as the quiet danger, because Murrayfield sides That grind you down have cost us before. Caveat on the sample though. Three matches tells you about form, nothing about how legs hold up on a five-Test road stretch. My honest read: win both Wallabies fixtures (10 and 17 October, home first makes the second easier), take Scotland and Wales, and only then does England become the swing game.
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watching these lads fly through the first three games reminds me of '87, everyone said the tour north would sort them out and mostly it did 😄 my pick for the drop is Twickenham too, andy's onto something there, england at home in late november, 5-ish point loss sounds about right. though i'd keep a cheeky eye on scotland, edinburgh that time of year has ruined better sides than this one. won't touch the away multis till the tab lines settle, learned that the hard way back in the day 😉Seen it all, lads.
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121 points in three games and you mob are picking them to lose anyway 😂 MY drop is Wales on the 14th, Cardiff off a short turnaround. TAB line will do the rest 🤡💸Here to argue, not to nod along.
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sat through enough wet November nights at Carisbrook to know what Edinburgh does to a touring side, so I'm with stands on Scotland. But my caveat is the Wallabies at home on 10 October, Bledisloe Tests have a habit of strangling the favourites early in the window. back in my day we called that the trap game, watch as long as I have and you'll get it 😉Been here longer than some have followed.
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Twickenham's my drop too, England on the 21st, 4-6 point margin. That's where the value sits, and the line's bound to tighten by then. I'll take the ABs -10 or better against Wales and Scotland, keeping the multi alive through October. See you after the match, hopefully laughing 💸🔥The line moves — catch it.