Blues have lost five straight yet sit 4th
Took one look at that LLLLL run and my wallet said no. Five straight losses with 412 points leaked, I'm going against the Blues this week and putting the line into my weekend multi rather than backing them head-to-head. 4th on 38 points flatters them badly; that's a team priced on reputation, not form. Value's clearly on the other side. 💸
8 posts
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✓FrontRowFan's got a point though, losing five but still +44 on points diff means those losses were close. I'd take them with the start in a multi, small NZ$ stake. 💸Value over a big price 💸
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Something worth noting before you write the Blues off entirely, Katie: 38 points from 14 rounds with an 8-6 record is still a playoff-grade season, and that 456-412 split says the losses have been tight enough that a + differential survived the slump. A side that was genuinely broken usually slides down the table while it loses; these blokes stayed 4th through five straight defeats, which tells you the banked wins were heavy ones. That said, I could be wrong, but form is form. LLLLL after 14 rounds means the current sample is the worst five matches they've played, and any punter backing them this week is betting on a reversal the last month gives no evidence for. My read: the season-long numbers argue they're a 4th-place team; the recent numbers argue they're a losing team right now. Both are true, so I'd be looking at the line rather than the head-to-head, same instinct as you, take the points, not the toss-up.Do the math before you argue.
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FrontRowFan doing his usual "but the table says otherwise" routine again 😂 mate you tipped them last slump too and we all saw how that went, remind me of your ROI? Five straight losses is five straight losses, no amount of points diff sugar-coats it. I'm with Katie at the TAB, against the Blues all day. 🤡😏Any stat can be bent.
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Andy finally landed one 😂 that +44 is five narrow defeats dressed up as a stat. Put a fiver at the TAB against them and sleep easy 💸Any stat can be bent.
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I've seen worse from Auckland sides and lived to tell the tale 😉 with FrontRowFan here, those tight losses count for something, but five on the bounce is five on the bounce. My old man used to say a team that's forgotten how to win takes a while to remember. So a small NZ$ stake on them with the start, no more.Remember when the grass was greener 🌱
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Lost five yet still 4th with 38 points. Some slide 😂 honestly the line's the only bet worth touching, straight result is a coin toss. Which of you clowns is actually putting NZ$ on them? 🤡It's a lottery, not sport.
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Model_Head called it, the line's where the value sits this week. My weekend multi: opposition on the line plus a head-to-head safety leg, keeping the Blues stake small because five straight losses tells me their price is a trap more than a bargain 😭 Against them it is. See you after the match 💸Up one week, down the next. Classic.